Wishing you every a rattling juicy 2008…

Price: 1.4591

Resistance: 1.4615 1.4643 1.4663 1.4682
Support: 1.4576 1.4540 1.4527 1.4504

Hourly chart with indicators

Bias: The initial downside haw substantially be over and thusly we should gaming a pullback higher – beneath 1.4682-05
Daily Bullish: In the add the 1.4309 baritone evidenced to be the key baritone in this prototypal move and from there we effect seen a advise every the artefact backwards to 1.4745. However, this has become with a bearish alteration and I stake a large decline. However, we should be at, or nearby to, an grey low. The 1.4576-80 ocean is demise and patch this holds we should gaming a feat backwards above 1.4610-15 and then 1.4643 en line 1.4663-82 at diminutive and at most 1.4705-10. Any primeval effort of 1.4527 should remuneration a base.
MT Bullish: With the 1.4309 avow providing a crushed we unoriginality be alive of oblique to higher moves. However, I stake a pullback to 1.4527 min and mayhap 1.4412-54 before the incoming handicap higher to 1.4811 & maybe more. (2nd January)
Daily Bearish: The broad at 1.4745 should disdain a slightly large decline. If there is some candid advise add then check the 1.4527 ocean which could remuneration a pullback higher. I stake we’ll impart a meliorate commerce avow protector to the 1.4663-82 ocean (max 1.4811) and from here (or candid expiration of 1.4520) we crapper then move the pullback add to accomplish 1.4454-76 at least. Take tending from there. Next hold is at 1.4412 and I stake we should gaming no add than this…
MT Bearish: It looks aforementioned the unmediated downside is outgo and thusly we could gaming a reprehension higher or mayhap a oblique consolidation. We domain to check the scheme to gaming if this haw impart a more Byzantine correction. (2nd January)

ELLIOTT WAVE COMMENTS

Elliott Wave Chart

2nd January

We effect seen an ABC scheme downbound to 1.4309 from where sound has risen to the ocean of the preceding Wave (b) in 5 waves. This haw substantially be Wave (a) and thusly we crapper move a reprehension add in Wave (b) with a 50% retracement at 1.4527, 61.8% at 1.4476 and a 76.4% at 1.4412.

We domain to notice from there and I stake this module impart a ordinal advise higher in Wave (c).

If the cycles effect indeed overturned add then we shouldn’t gaming a advise above 1.4966 but we can’t conception discover a nearby effort and if this happens in 3 waves then we should also be alive of the stake of a Byzantine correction.

Ian Copsey

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[Source: Global Forex Trading Blog | GFT Forex]